Spatial and logical model of American electorate political choice formalization: experience for Russia

Автор: Petrov Artur Igorevich

Журнал: Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast @volnc-esc-en

Рубрика: Public administration efficiency

Статья в выпуске: 2 (50) т.10, 2017 года.

Бесплатный доступ

The results of the 58th US presidential election held November 8th, 2016 turned out a big surprise for many people. Numerous public opinion polls in the USA on political loyalty conducted by various researchers from July to October, 2016, demonstrated a steady trend of an electoral advantage of the Democratic Party's nominee (H. Clinton). However, during election (November 8th, 2016) the Republican Party's nominee D. Trump won with 306 electoral votes against 232. Why did this happen? Experts, political analysts have different explanations of this choice of American voters. In this article, the author makes an attempt to conduct a simple statistical analysis of the results of American electorate political preferences using basic socio-economic categories such as “quality of life”, “gross domestic product”, “employment” and “crime”. The hypothesis accepted as the basis for the author's arguments implies that the voters' political preferences greatly depend on the actual quality of people's lives, which is highly differentiated in the US states...

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2016 us presidential election, election results, quality of life of the us states population, correlation-regression analysis, electorate political choice, protest nature of election

Короткий адрес: https://readera.org/147223919

IDR: 147223919   |   DOI: 10.15838/esc.2017.2.50.6

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