Influence exerted by biological and social risk factors on morbidity with tick-borne encephalitis in some regions in the Urals federal district

Автор: Mishchenko V.A., Kshnyasev I.A., Zakharova Yu.A., Bykov I.P., Sergeev A.G., Rupysheva T.A., Vyatkina L.G., Ladygin O.V.

Журнал: Анализ риска здоровью @journal-fcrisk

Рубрика: Анализ риска здоровью в эпидемиологии

Статья в выпуске: 4 (28), 2019 года.

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Tick-borne encephalitis (TBE) as an infectious disease remains a significant issue in the Urals Federal District (the UFD). To correctly describe impacts exerted by risk factors on TBE epidemic process, it is necessary to analyze both common and individual peculiarities related to how TBE epidemic process develops on endemic administrative territories. We assessed impacts exerted by biological and social factors on morbidity with TBE in four endemic regions in the UFD (Sverdlovsk, Chelyabinsk, Tyumen, and Kurgan regions) over 2007-2017. To quantitatively assess contributions made by specific factors into morbidity with TBE, we calculated chances for people who suffered tick bites to fall ill with TBE; it allowed us to apply standard procedures within generalized linear models theory (GLM), namely logistic regression. Our analysis included aggregated data on quantity of people who were bitten by ticks and fell will with TBE in all the examined regions. We also assessed data for each specific region as all these endemic territories had both common and specific regularities related to TBE endemic process development...


Tick-borne encephalitis, urals federal district, logistic regression, morbidity, odds ratio, natural and social risk factors, statistical modeling, specific prevention

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IDR: 142223297   |   DOI: 10.21668/health.risk/2019.4.14

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