Forecasting of the dynamics of electricity consumption in Russia on the basis of linear mathematical model

Автор: Shulga A.S., Zatonskiy A.V.

Журнал: Juvenis scientia @jscientia

Рубрика: Информатика

Статья в выпуске: 3, 2016 года.

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The urgency of research of influence of various factors on the electricity consumption in Russia. Type of the model is selected. Linear model is designed to describe the dynamics of electricity consumption and the influence of factors such as the population with an average income below the subsistence minimum, PPI of electricity production, exports electricity and average prices of crude oil and natural gas. Prediction of electricity consumption is obtained based on the forecast of the selected factors. Regularities of changes in the dynamics of electricity consumption depending on the level of other factors included in model


Mathematical models, forecasting, electricity consumption

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IDR: 14110107

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