Short-term forecasting of the gross regional product based on the use of the apparatus of production functions

Автор: Kutyshkin Andrey Valentinovich, Shulgin Oleg Valeryevich

Журнал: Региональная экономика и управление: электронный научный журнал @eee-region

Статья в выпуске: 3 (63), 2020 года.

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The article discusses the issues of short-term forecasting of gross regional product using the elements of the Solow model. On the example of the economy of the Khanty-Mansiysk Autonomous Okrug, estimates were made of changes in the values of the specified economic indicator with a forecast horizon of one year. For forecasting, production functions of the type CES - functions and VES - functions were used. The forecasting results were compared with the data of socio-economic statistics of the Federal State Statistics Service of the Russian Federation, presented in a regional context.

Khanty-mansi autonomous okrug, regional economic system, gross regional product, production function, solow's model

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IDR: 143172796

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